For now I will be bringing some of my long form post on Twitter here. New posts will be coming in the meantime too. First a mere concept sketched after a few months into the pandemic, because no common descriptive term could quite fit what SARS-CoV-2 and it’s systemic impacts would entail.
At first I used the Near Earth Super Nova as the basis for this concept, from a scientific standpoint, dependent on it’s distance, the NESN will have very little direct impact, but it will have MASSIVE systemic effects. It will raise the temperature of the oceans by mere degrees, which will cascade into extinction cascades and pretty much cause change the entire ecological system of the planet. From weather to biological life. Plagues would wake up, new endemic diseases, famine, you name it.
But a better description current to our times is the following. The world as a physiological system, and we are into a silent cytokine storm. If you want a better visualization just google Kessler Syndrome and apply it to a complex system map.
Nova Swan. A continuous cascade effect derived from a prior event, usually a black swan. It usually dwarfs the black swan event in all metrics. Term comes from Near-Earth supernova. Corona was such a event. This will be a useful term to remember from here on.
After so many months, the extension of the damage is visible to the naked eye, without sophisticated models and/or massive data analysis.
Most industries have multiple single point of failures, but they are fragile, one of these points fail, the whole thing just cracks under pressure. Sometimes takes one lazy guy, or one sick person to cause massive failures.
You don't need to be an expert, hell, not even knowledgeable on a different fields, to forecast the outcomes of such event. Some common sense, information analysis, being decent at extrapolation, and you are better than most. Most of society, at the best of days, battles to properly function (numerous variables). An unexpected event of such scale will tip the attention of the entire population, governments, media, academia towards itself.
While they are attracted by the beautiful lights, the nova is setting up a continuous cascade of effects. Such as logistics disruption to this day. This event led to soaring costs months after the fact. Academic and state inefficiency cemented the fact.
On our best days, we can barely track or contain local epidemics. Someone gets sick, resources are shifted, and we these things, you stop tracking wild animals, trade. And on our hard days, we will foster plagues you wouldn't believe. You halt the world engine for 12 weeks, this will bring massive weather changes. Out of season floods, drought, massive locust plague, and unbelievable amounts of rain.
We get the 3 gorges dam. Millions displaced, destruction of farm land, grains rotting. A cascade effect felt to this day, soaring grains costs on local markets to feed China's hunger, containers at full capacity.
Global food prices Rising from October. OF 2020.
Monetarily ? We are fucked. Vaccines won't provide long term immunity. New pandemics will arise because of the lack of real effort right now. Soaring prices, lack of food, new natural disasters will lead to civil unrest. All this inside 2021, except the pandemic.
In the near future, every major societal failure could be pinpointed to this moment, this year. This will also set off multiple black swans. This is why I wanted a new term for this event. Corona wasn't white, or a black swan. It was a near earth supernova.
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A bit tangential to the topic, but there ARE near-term higher probability cosmic events that we should be wary of, such as the NEAREST-Earth-SuperNova, that of our own Sun having not just a Coronal Mass Ejection (Which we should be taking more seriously) but an actual "micro-nova" type event.
Without trying to argue for plasma cosmology any further than that, we can also worry about the already noticeable chain reaction of GALACTIC (rather than simply heliospheric) current sheet waves, like a massive Enlil Spiral, which could cause something like the former nova event or who knows. Coupled with, or possibly even the cause of, Earth's exponentially weakening geomagnetic field, we should be extremely involved in preparing for such an event.
Sometimes I speculate that "They" know exactly that some such scenario is coming soon... But who can tell the masses that we're going to be blasted back into the stone-age by insane cosmic forces and the best hope is just to ride it out in a super-bunker? Because that would be even more chaotic?
Anyway, glad I found your writing, and Substack for that matter. Hope it isnt some faux pas to carry on in the comments like this. Just thought I'd share.
BTW I'm here thanks to IceAgeFarmer's community recommending your piece "The system, disruptions, and the ladder", after the most recent food production facility 'randomly' burned down....
Glad to see you picked up the Substack. All the best Twitter content is moving here. I follow your supplements/science content there closely. It’s been really helpful and I have shared it around my network. I come from traditional medicine. What a wake up.